世界集装箱港口复杂网络级联失效下的鲁棒性分析

    Robustness of Global Network of Container terminals

    • 摘要: 当集装箱港口遭到攻击时,港口节点失效的影响会因级联效应扩散到整个集装箱港口网络中,文章旨在探究面对不同攻击策略时,世界集装箱港口网络级联失效下的鲁棒性。构建包含761个港口节点的世界集装箱港口复杂网络,基于节点度和负载重分配原则设置级联失效模型,分别在随机攻击策略、最大度值攻击策略、最大介数攻击三种策略下对网络节点保留率、网络效率和最大连通子图比3项连通性指标的变化进行了研究。结果表明:构造的集装箱港口网络对随机攻击有较好的抗毁性,对最大度数攻击和最大介数攻击的抗毁性较差;在蓄意攻击的仿真分析中,一旦攻击次数超过阈值,在级联效应作用下整个网络会迅速崩溃;集装箱港口网络对最大度值攻击的抗毁性优于对最大介数攻击的抗毁性。

       

      Abstract: If a container terminal fails to operate under an attack, as a nod of the network, its failure will pervade in entire network of container terminals. The robustness of the global container terminal network under possible attack types are studied. The complex network composed of 761 ports(nodes) is modeled. Acascading failure model is constructed based on the principle of node degree and load redistribution. The situations under 3 attack scenarios, the random attack, the maximum degree attack and the maximum betweenness attack, are analyzed to find the connectivity change through calculating three connectivity indexes, node retention rate, network efficiency and the maximum percentage of connected subgraph. The analysis shows that the network is relatively strong against random attacks but weaker to maximum degree attacks and maximum betweenness attacks. Under an intentional attack the network may collapse if the attack repeats several times up to a threshold. The network is weaker against a maximum betweenness attack than against a maximum degree attack.

       

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